Reports on Romney's strategy seem strange at first. He is leaving SC to go to Nevada, where he already has a commanding lead. Yet, at the same time, Mitt is expanding his ad buy in SC.
So what is he doing? If you have decided that you can't win SC, why stay? The way I see it, Mitt wants Fred out. Romney and Fred are pulling from largely the same pool of voters, so by maintaining a solid presence in SC, Romney is doing his best to bring Fred's total down to ensure that he finishes behind both Huckabee and McCain. Meanwhile, Romney wants to dominate NV and take as many of their 34 delegates as possible.
If Romney can succeed in getting nearly all of NV's delegates and forcing Thompson out before Florida (or at least before super Tuesday) then January 19th will be a success... even if he doesn't take the "gold" or "silver" in the Palmetto state.
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Your analysis seems petty much right on the money. Look, South Carolina is full of Baptists. And bless them, but for some reason never clear to me Baptists are (generally speaking) exceptionally antagonistic towards the "Mormon" church. Why? Dunno. We like them well enough (I'm a 'Mormon'- and my family has been affiliated with the faith since it was founded), but they can't seem to return the favor.
So why stick around when otherwise good people tell you they don't want "your kind" darkening their door-ways? Go on to where you'll be appreciated.
Mitt's strategy is not only rational and objective, it appears to have worked wonderfully.
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